Thursday, November 26, 2009

Third party rating agencies

DPReview is a website that has been providing reviews of digital camera for 10 years. It is an example of how things can so easily go wrong.
I recently noticed that almost all the cameras they reviewed were "highly recommended". So I looked at all the reviews they have done since 1999 and an interesting trend emerges.

The graph show the average of ratings awarded each year using 5 for "highly recommended" to 1 for "below average". 14 of the 19 cameras reviewed in 2009 were "highly recommended".

This kind of 'grade inflation' is understandable; the site relies on equipment makers loaning them the cameras for (pre)review and doing so early so as to attract eyeballs to the site. Manufacturers are understandably more likely to lend equipment to sites that give them high marks. So getting hold of new cameras is easier if you give the makers better ratings.

However the value to consumers declines as ratings are compressed into the top category. Telling one from another is no longer a case of looking at the bottom line, but now requires making a subjective judgment (often based, in no small measure, on someone else's subjective judgment).

Ratings inflation also compromises the site's brand for integrity and objectivity. If the raters are basing their assessments on something other than their response to the product, namely the desire to get product to review and eye-balls to the site, how much faith can one place in what they write? (And to my eyes, some of what they write bears absolutely no relation top the test images they comparing.)

Of course, this kind of compromised objectivity applies not only to reviewers of digital cameras; the financial instruments that were the building blocks of the "normal accident" (Perrow, 1984) that befell our economic system last fall, were rated by supposedly impartial third parties - and look how well that worked out.

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Bullwinkle Bear 1991-2009


After a short illness, Bullwinkle Bear, "Woodles" to her friends, succumbed to the dual ravages of kidney failure and diabetes.

A dear and loving friend, she helped me decide on a new career, shared the burden of many late nights reading, saw me through comprehensives, my thesis defense and data collection. After relocating to the US, she shared with me the joy of my time at Stanford, helped finish my thesis, find a job, begin teaching and navigate my way to tenure.

A constant companion, I will be very lonely without her company; my work buddy has left me to figure the rest of this out on my own. Than you, Woodles, for your love and devotion; you are forever with me in spirit.