- The Democrats will make gains in the House in the mid-terms but will not win a majority. They will not pick up any more seats in the Senate.
- The US will tacitly and reluctantly accept North Korea as a nuclear power.
- Muller will conclude his investigation without finding any concrete evidence of collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government and its proxies.
- Social Security, Medicade and Midicare reform will be put in hold until after the mid-terms
- DACA will expire without a resolution; ICE will begin deportation.
- the GOP will pass an infrastructure bill that relies on private financing, with risk backstopped by the Government; it will receive no Democratic support.
- China will continue to gain influence and assert it's role in international affairs.
- Trump will not recertify the Iran Nuclear deal but all other parties will continue to abide by its terms, and the deal will de-facto remain in place.
- Brexit talks will lead to the development of a transitional period to allow the UK more time to disentangle itself from the EU.
- South and North Korea will reconcile some of their differences and trade and labour flows will resume.
- No progress will be made in negotiations between Israel and Palestine.
- The rule of law in Afghanistan will continue to deteriorate.
- US-Pakistan relations will reach a nadir in the summer but begin to improve towards the end of the year .
- Putin will win re-election.
Friday, January 5, 2018
Predictions for 2018
Labels:
international,
politics
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