McConnell won't fill RBG's seat on SCOTU before the election but after it.
If he puts Trump's conservative pick in before the election it will motivate the Dems and increase voter turnout on the left which could deliver them the White House, the House of Representatives and the Senate. That opens the possibility that they could pack the court once in power.
If he waits till after the election, even if Trump looses, even if the GOP looses its majority in the Senate, he can still get Trump's nominee confirmed before the new Senate is seated. As odious as that would be it's his safest play. It minimizes the chances that he will loose the Senate and so prevents the Dems packing the court were they to win control of both chambers and 1600 Pennsylvania Av.
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