Monday, June 27, 2022

America: One system, two countries

In foreign policy, it has long been de rigueur to refer to the Taiwan/China question as "One country, two systems" as a way of placating both sides. The two recent decisions by the United States Supreme Court have created the exact opposite: one system, two countries. 

While Americans vote in a single nationwide election for a single nationwide federal government, it is becoming increasingly clear that America is no longer one country; and last week's SCOTUS decision will only deepen the divide. By allowing red states to enact more extreme conservative policies, many will leave them for bluer pastures. And those in blue states who are less liberal will emigrate red-wards, something that is already happening to California. 

The result will be less compromise, more rancor and a worsening of the national political climate. The result will be still more legislative deadlock at the federal level and as a consequences, declines in the country's economic performance and its clout in international affairs. That will leave the way clear for China to become the dominant superpower of this century. 

Unless Americans can find a single cause around which to rally, something that covid clearly demonstrated is unlikely to happen, the US looks increasingly like a country in steep decline. 

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